From this recent
Philadelinquency piece:
Gentrification pressure in Philly affects less than 1/3 of the city’s
total surface area and its rate of expansion is mostly kept in check by
our horrible public schools above all other things. And if anything,
our public schools now suck more than ever; public opinion regarding the
SDP has reached its lowest levels imaginable.
That basically means all of the gentrification we see in
Philadelphia is missing a major factor that would cause it to explode
here: schools. Everyone who has kids here either leaves
Philadelphia or finds some other solution around the schools problem in
order to stay here—or just doesn’t have kids. Those with their kids in
the School District of Philadelphia are either lucky their children are
in one of the few performing schools the District has, or their kids are
at the mercy of a system they can’t avoid. That puts definite limits
on the homebuying populations for sure.
You only have to look no further than the Penn Alexander School
to see what fixing schools does to house prices: parents pack into the
school catchment which caused the area around Penn Alexander to shoot
up a $100K prevailing premium over areas of West Philly just outside the
school catchment.
But also consider this: There are 4.4 million people living in
Philly’s collar county suburbs and only 1.5 million living in the city
proper. If schools were suddenly fixed tomorrow, it’s likely that the
cheapest homes in Mantua would be $450K. Chew on that for a minute. Your cheap house is mostly riding on the back of shitty schools keeping the bulk of parents who have means away.
Also note my response to this quote:
Now, about your suburban slumlord who smells the gentrification coming
towards his rental property he was renting out for $600/mo and
collecting a string of code violations on for a decade who might decide
to sell his house to a rehabber and cash out, leaving that rental at the
sake of increasing valuations? Nobody has come up with a solution for
that yet.
The shitty slumlords are the problem. And a major irony of our current land-use policies is that they, perversely, empower shitty slumlords at the expense of conscientious local landlords.
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